Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Champions League Quarter Finals Predictions

The Quarter Finals stage of the Champions League is on its way and I will dedicate the first part of the post to offer an analysis based on "Hunchers.com" members' views for the first 2 games:

Fenerbahche vs. Chelsea (April 2nd 2008)
First,let's take a look on the consensus results.
As I'm writing this post it stands on
Game End - 1:2 (to Chelsea)
Half Time - 0:1 (to Chelsea)
The consensus result has a good history of success rate when the number of hunchers that participated in that specific challenge was around 10 and more and it currently stands on 9..
Huncher AmirF who's currently leading the community in the Champions League is predicting that Chelsea will win 0:2 and Huncher emart who is currently ranked 2nd in the Champions League category thinks that Chelsea is in good shape that they will be able to win 0:2 outside.
I'm still missing to see what more major hunchers in this field specifically and in general like Huncher motis has to say on this game before taking any decision.
So my current recommendation is:
  1. Post a hunch saying 1:2 and wait
  2. Come back to hunchers.com near the game time
  3. If more 'market movers' are joining this challenge and move the consensus significantly, I will consider changning it. if not, I'm going with a 1:2 as the game result and a solid 0:1 as the half time result.
I will hunch accordingly



Arsenal vs. Liverpool (April 2nd 2008)
The current consensus result says:
Game End - 1:1
Half Time - 1:0 (to Arsenal)
The game end result is a good result to hunch since:
1. It looks reasobable since Arsenal is not in very good shape lately and it's Liverpool's last title chance
2. If we look at the distribution, we see that currently half of the hunchers are predicting that Arsenal will win, meaning that the risk level for hunching Draw will be above 1 to 2.00. This can earn good amount of points.
As for the half time result, the consensus result (1:0 to Arsenal) also looks like a good and solid hunch to take.
I also recommend checking out what Hunchers that lead in Premier League Category think on this game.
I will hunch accordingly

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