A look at last weekend predictions
A lot was said about utilizing the wisdom of crowds to various fields. at hunchers.com we take it a little step further. We take all the predictions that the members of the community posted on a certain game, mix up together using our proprietary algorithm that is based on past success of active members (sometimes success within the same league or on previous games of the same team) and produce what we call the consensus prediction. In the last post I gave some of the consensus predictions of the central European soccer games. Here they are with the final results:
Bayern Munchen - Hoffenheim (prediction was 2-1, final result was exactly the same)
Bolton - Chelsea (prediction was 2-1 to Chelsea, final result 2-0 to Chelsea)
Arsenal - Wigan (prediction was 2-0 to Arsenal, final result was 1-0 to Arsenal)
Blackburn - Liverpool (prediction was 1-0 to Liverpool, final result was 3-1 to Liverpool)
Manchester United - Sunderland (prediction was 3-0 to Manchester, final result was 1-0 to ManU)
Fulham - Manchester City (prediction was 1-1, final result was exactly the same)
The bottom line is that in all the games the community predicted correctly the winner/loser/draw and 2 games it predicted the exact result.
Not bad . . .
Who will qualify to the top 16 in the Champions League?
In this article I posted at sportingo.com you can find all the scenarios, which teams are still racing for a ticket to the exclusive 16 club and which teams will play for a ticket to the UEFA cup.
Monday, December 8, 2008
Can wisdom of crowds predict future game scores?
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